TY - JOUR N2 - Hydrocarbon production under certain geological conditions of these deposits can cause surface subsidence and deformation of the terrain surface. Such deformations appear as subsidence troughs of considerable range and the magnitude of the subsidence depending on the total thickness of the reservoir, compaction properties of reservoir and on the number of other factors. In the past there have been widely recognized magnitudes of the subsidence up to 9 meters. The stress zones in the subsidence trough may affect the buildings and surface structures. However there have been well known some cases of destroyed boreholes or pipelines belonging to the gas or oil mine. Therefore there is a requirement to analyze the possibility of occurrence unfavorable phenomenon on the ground surface, to monitor surface deformations during production and to protect surface infrastructure located in the range of mining influences. In the paper the issue of surface subsidence caused by hydrocarbon production has been presented. The cause - effect relationship between the compaction of thereservoir rock and the subsidence of surface area has been assumed. The prediction model base on the influence function and on the superposition of elementary influences. For the purpose of building damage protection a new model of risk assessment has been developed. This model base on the elements of fuzzy logicallows to incorporate in the analysis the quantitative and qualitative factors that contribute to the risk of building damage. Use of the fuzzy logic made it possible to obtain one value which clearly discriminate the risk of buildings damage. However, risk analyzes of damage to the large number of buildings has been required additional tools. The spatial analysis has been made by using GIS. The subjects of the paper have been illustrated with a practical example. L1 - http://www.journals.pan.pl/Content/85721/PDF/hejmanowska-malinowska.pdf L2 - http://www.journals.pan.pl/Content/85721 PY - 2012 IS - No 3 EP - 125 DO - 10.2478/v10269-012-0026-y KW - fuzzy logic KW - modeling KW - rock mass deformation KW - natural gas KW - oil development A1 - Hejmanowski, Ryszard A1 - Malinowska, Agnieszka PB - Komitet Zrównoważonej Gospodarki Surowcami Mineralnymi PAN PB - Instytut Gospodarki Surowcami Mineralnymi i Energią PAN VL - vol. 28 DA - 2012 T1 - Method of surface deformations prediction in the natural gas and petroleum mining areas with technical infrastructure risk assessment method SP - 113 UR - http://www.journals.pan.pl/dlibra/publication/edition/85721 T2 - Gospodarka Surowcami Mineralnymi - Mineral Resources Management ER -